ATP Dubai
Os pego lo que he posteado para mis amigos los "canguros" de www.tennisinsight.com
"some thoughts about this:
still thinking roger will take this but worried about some facts that imo will be crucial when appear tonight
- Federer has improved his serve stats the whole week, started with a poor (4 aces, 4 doubles) (4 aces, 3 doubles) then the last two (6a-2d 6a-1d). Except against stak (9 bps conceeded) the rest has been ok stating 2,2,2 in his other encounters.
- Concern: BREAK POINTS CONVERSION
There is a long time Roger is not the same player..im talking about mentality and is well documented his "killing instict" will not appear any more. his week stats are a perfect reflect of it:
3/7 2/8 3/9 4/8
Fedex takes advantage in his late encounters...except that GREAT/EXCEPTIONAL level showed by Nole at AO other matches went the same easy control by swiss but if he is not able to FOCUS 110% in his early opportunities he should be paying for it!! Nole dont give me enough confidence right now..his backhand is not 100% and im sure swiss team have noticed about it and will construct strategy based on that point...
Veredict: Roger odds are not awesome so ill take some risk with little stakes 2-0 @2,7 to enjoy the match as i think if he is able to convert his early opportunities he will lose some pressure and will finish it in SS"
Federer 2-0 @2,7 stake bajo
ATP Acapulco
Almagro - Ferrer
"ill be beting Almagro to win 1st set @2,5 at bet365
great odds imo and as always point when talking about the "underdog"...if he doesnt take this one he will not do later...
almagro has played too MUCH tennis lately and a letdown should appear like sweeting against nishi last night if he doesnt clinch it
h2h is demolishing but remember ferru has lost his last two matches 1st set...thats a start!!"
Almagro ganador 1er set @2,5 bet365 stake bajo
